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Senior Advisor of Shi Pomao: Japan must be prepared for Trump tariffs. One of Japan's top security officials said that Japan needs to be prepared for the threat of US President-elect Trump to impose tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and adjust the supply chain to reduce the collateral damage to Japanese enterprises. Akihisa Nagashima, national security adviser to Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao, said that during his recent visit to the United States, he had a "frank" communication with Trump team members on tariff issues. "I realized that Japan must be ready for Trump to implement his plan," he said.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.Palestinian President meets Lebanese Prime Minister, stressing the implementation of Security Council resolutions to promote a comprehensive ceasefire. On December 12, local time, Palestinian President Abbas met with Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister Mikati in Rome. The two sides discussed the situation in Palestine and Lebanon, agreed on the importance of strengthening efforts and unity, and stressed the need to implement UN Security Council Resolution 2735, promote a comprehensive ceasefire in Lebanon and the Gaza Strip, safeguard Lebanon's stability, peace and security, ensure humanitarian aid to enter the Gaza Strip, and realize the full withdrawal of Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip.

Macquarie Asset Management is considering selling its Indian highway portfolio.CITIC Securities: Relevant central state-owned enterprises engaged in business and equity cooperation with Huawei are expected to enjoy Huawei's empowerment. CITIC Securities pointed out that at the moment when the four sectors of intelligent selection are gathering together and the HI model is fully expanded, we believe that the investment core of Huawei's OEM is "change and invariance", that is, business model and partner iteration, but the top-level design of "not building cars, helping car companies build good cars" and the commercial appeal of maximizing sales and profits are not avoided. In addition, in the stage of deep cooperation with Huawei, the organizational structure and corporate governance of partners have been greatly improved. Similarly, we believe that relevant central state-owned enterprises engaged in business and equity cooperation with Huawei are expected to enjoy Huawei's empowerment, and Huawei will help the reform of state-owned enterprises.Russian Intelligence Agency: NATO is worried about Russia's statement about the western participation in the attack on Russia. The Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency issued a statement on the 12th local time, saying that according to the information obtained by the bureau, NATO headquarters is extremely worried about Russia's statement that the United States, Britain and France are directly involved in using western long-range weapons to attack deep areas of Russia. NATO legal experts worry that Russia may accuse western countries of armed aggression against Russia.

After the short-term survey was released, the 10-year Japanese government bond futures rose to 142.51.China Seismological Network automatically measured that an earthquake of magnitude 4.4 occurred near Yuli County, Bayinguoleng Prefecture, Xinjiang at 07: 22 on December 13th (40.93 degrees north latitude and 84.13 degrees east longitude), and the final result was subject to the official quick report.The yield of China's 10-year government bonds fell below 1.80% at the beginning of the session, hitting a new record low.